Saturday, January 29, 2011

POLITICO Playbook summary of EGYPT coverage:

BULLETIN -- Secretary Clinton will address Egypt on all five Sunday shows. She will tape brief interviews with each anchor tomorrow morning.

--Christiane Amanpour said on "World News" that she was heading to Cairo for "This Week." ... DNC Chairman Tim Kaine no longer on "Meet" due to Egypt.

MARK WHITAKER to CNN; Antoine Sanfuentes now NBC Washington bureau chief - Keach Hagey: "Mark Whitaker, the longtime Newsweek editor who took over NBC News's Washington bureau upon the death of Tim Russert, is leaving to become executive vice president and managing editor at CNN Worldwide, a newly created position ... Whitaker will be replaced by Antoine Sanfuentes, who formerly served as deputy Washington bureau chief," and spent a lot of time in Waco as White House producer. Full memos http://politi.co/f0Dak2

WOLF BLITZER, on CNN's "Piers Morgan Tonight": "[W]ho follows Mubarak? For all practical purposes, most of the analysts I've spoken to think it's only a matter of time before he goes. Will it be a pro-U.S., pro-western, secular regime or will it be something else -- a regime that rips up, for example, the peace treaty that's been in business for three decades with Israel, one that turns against the U.S.? ... Piers, all of us remember what happened in '78-'79 when the shah went down. As flawed as he was, he was a good U.S. ally. What followed now is three decades of an ayatollah-led regime in Iran."

--John King, appearing with Blitzer: "[T]he administration served notice today, and voices from Congress are serving even tougher notice. About $2 billion a year, just shy of that, goes to Egypt in military assistance and other economic assistance. ... [A]t the White House tonight, they believe the genie is out of the bottle in Egypt. It cannot be put back in."

Good Saturday morning. THE LATEST FROM CAIRO - AFP: "Mubarak holds crisis talks with officials at presidency ... Egypt intelligence chief sworn in as vice president" ... Reuters: "On the fifth day of unprecedented protests against Mubarak's 30-year-rule, it looked increasingly as if the army held the key to the nation's future." ... AP: "Tanks and armored personnel carriers fanned out across the city ... But the curfew was largely ignored - by the looters who ran rampant, by protesters, and apparently by soldiers under orders to enforce it."

--THE NARRATIVE - BBC World: "Tunisia has released a political tsunami."

--THE BACKDROP - Freedom House, an independent watchdog, rates Egypt as "Not Free" (scale: "Free," "Partly Free," "Not Free"), and writes in "Freedom in the World 2011": "Egypt received a downward trend arrow due to extensive restrictions on opposition candidates and reform advocates during the 2010 parliamentary elections, as well as a widespread crackdown on the media that resulted in increased self-censorship." Table http://bit.ly/hPiefQ

--PLAYBOOK FACTS OF LIFE - HOW WE GOT HERE: For over 10 years, U.S. administrations have told Egypt that reforms were necessary, lest ire continue to build and become explosive. The response always was: "Too many reforms, too fast, will lead to our downfall, and likely replacement by the Muslim Brotherhood." Opening up elections was their biggest fear, on the assumption that they could manage the situation through slow, strategically timed, incremental reform. But regional politics rarely tick to any one country's watch.

--N.Y. Times goes with a six-column, one line, italic banner, "Mubarak Orders Crackdown, With Revolt Sweeping Egypt." WashPost is 4.5 columns, "Cairo falls into near-anarchy." WSJ breaks format with a large photo dominating the space above the fold, and a 5-col., "Egypt's Regime on the Brink."

--The "tracks" atop the NYT's inside pages: "REGION IN REVOLT." Catches the moment a little better than the Post's groundhog-day "TURMOIL IN THE MIDDLE EAST."

--THE BIG PICTURE - Ben Smith and Laura Rozen: "The White House tiptoed gingerly toward solidarity with the protesters thronging Egyptian streets on a day of escalating rhetoric that culminated Friday evening with President Barack Obama making a televised appeal to the nation's leader, Hosni Mubarak, to halt his crackdown and reform the government. 'This moment of volatility has to be turned into a moment of promise,' Obama said, while calling on Mubarak 'to refrain from any violence against peaceful protestors.' His statement - after a half-hour call with Mubarak in the middle of Egypt's night - capped the swift progression of the U.S. position as the White House struggled to stay ahead, and on the right side of, the widening protest movement. ... Obama's careful formulation - he also called on protestors to keep the peace - embodied an administration struggling to ... reconcile the universalist idealism and foreign policy realism that Obama seeks to simultaneously embody." http://bit.ly/frBqMt

--Shepard Smith, cutting away from Robert Gibbs' 49-minute briefing: "You can often get the sense of the gravity of a situation by the amount of times the person at the microphone for the White House ... reiterates previously uttered points. ... [Gibbs] said the following 13 times: We're monitoring very fluid situations in Egypt. He said SIX times: We are reviewing our assistance package to Egypt ... He said NINE times that the Egyptian government should address the grievances that have built up for years among the Egyptian people. And he said FIVE times that these problems will be solved by the people of Egypt. He said SIX times that they need to turn back on the Internet. The troops and people should refrain from violence: That was uttered SEVEN times."

--N.Y. Times' Mark Landler, in an A1er: "The announcement that the administration would review its aid was the first tangible sign that the United States was keeping Mr. Mubarak at arm's length. ... Robert Gibbs ... [said] that the American 'assistance posture' would depend on events 'now, and in the coming days.'" http://nyti.ms/eY7adj

--GERARLD F. SEIB analysis on A1 of The Wall Street Journal, "Moment Of Truth For U.S.": "From the day former President Anwar Sadat was assassinated by Islamic extremists 30 years ago, with then-Vice President Mubarak at his side, the U.S. has maintained an implicit understanding with the Egyptian leader: Mr. Mubarak would be America's most stalwart Arab friend in the region and keep Islamic forces at bay at home. In return, the U.S. would occasionally prod him to open up his political system, but ultimately defer to his ability to keep things stable on the home front. That understanding disintegrated when Mr. Mubarak unleashed first his security forces and then his army on protesters, after cutting off their ability to communicate on the Internet-all despite explicit pleas from the Obama administration that he refrain from those steps."

--THE CONTEXT - "The Ambiguous Revolt," by TNR Contributing Editor Paul Berman: "The contemporary habit of endowing revolutions with charming and amusing names -- instead of with labels that are nationalist (American, French) or partisan (Bolshevik, Sandinista) -- began in the Czech Republic, where the overthrow of Soviet rule and of communism itself came to be known as the Velvet Revolution. The Velvet Revolution led, in turn, to the revolutions that were denominated Rose (Georgian), Orange (Ukrainian), Cedar (Lebanese) ... Tunisia's upheaval has been called the Jasmine Revolution." (Behind paywall)

--BERLIN ECHO ECHO - Shepard Smith on Fox News, 3:58 p.m.: "Jennifer Griffin, longtime Middle East correspondent, now our Pentagon correspondent, ... has just messaged me, and according to the words of Jennifer Griffin, 'This is the equivalent the falling of the Berlin Wall in the Middle East.'" ... KT McFarland, former Reagan national-security official, on Fox Business' "Cavuto" at 6 p.m.: "I think this could potentially be like the fall of the Berlin Wall in that part of the world." ... KT McFarland, on Fox's "Hannity," airs 9 p.m.: "[I]t's like the fall of the Berlin Wall. We have dominoes falling from Tunisia, to potentially even to Iran."

--Fox promo for tonight's "Geraldo At Large": "EGYPT UNDER SIEGE! As violence engulfs the region, churches are attacked and Christians are killed."

THE SUNDAY NEWS SHOWS weekend:

--NBC's "Meet the Press": Secretary Clinton; Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell; roundtable with NBC's Tom Brokaw, historian Doris Kearns Goodwin, Wall Street Journal columnist Peggy Noonan and the WashPost's Bob Woodward

--ABC's "The Week": Secretary Clinton; former Speaker Newt Gingrich; Reagan children Ron Reagan, Michael Reagan and Patti Davis; roundtable with ABC's George Will, ABC's Cokie Roberts, ABC's Sam Donaldson and former Reagan Budget Director David Stockman

--CBS's "Face the Nation": Secretary Clinton, White House Chief of Staff William Daley

--"Fox News Sunday": Secretary Clinton, Speaker John Boehner; roundtable with Fox News' Brit Hume, FORTUNE's Nina Easton, The Weekly Standard's Bill Kristol and the New York Post's Kirsten Powers; "Power Player of the Week" segment: National Institutes of Health - The Children's Inn CEO Kathy Russell

--CNN's "State of the Union": Secretary Clinton, former U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. John Negroponte and former U.S. Ambassador to Egypt Edward Walker; Sen. John McCain; Sen. Chuck Schumer; Co-Chair of the White House Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform and former Sen. Alan Simpson

--C-SPAN: "The Communicators" (Sat., 6:30 p.m. ET): Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Ambassador Philip Verveer and FTC Chief Technologist Edward Felten ... "Newsmakers" (Sun. 10 a.m. ET / 6 p.m. ET): Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.), questioned by the Washington Post's Neil Irwin and CQ's Steven Sloan ... "Q&A" (Sun. 8 p.m. ET / 11 p.m. ET): former President George W. Bush (taped Monday) ... "Road to the White House" (Sun. 6:30 p.m. ET / 9:30 p.m. ET): Tim Pawlenty in Bedford, N.H.

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